Is the Fourth Turning Here?
Tonight I finished Neil Howe’s book The Fourth Turning is Here. It is one of those books that provides a powerful lens or frame through which to view both the past and the future. Being well versed in American history, I suspect I was able to follow along a bit more than many. Nevertheless, I am left feeling curious about whether the ideas really do explain where America is heading. The TL;DR is that we are entering the ‘Fourth Turning’ of a cycle, which is the crisis phase. Howe argues this will culminate by/around 2033. After that will be a new ‘First Turning’ and an era with less division and more unity (among other happy outcomes) will be upon us. I remain unconvinced, though I like the framework and I don’t doubt that he may be right. We sure seem to be headed for a crisis.
For those interested in history and the immediate future (that is, parents), this book is very interesting. Below are links to two reviews and two interviews with Mr. Howe.
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