Missives from Samsara

I came across a reference to the Battle of Towton while reading Neil Howe’s fascinating The Fourth Turning is Here — a book I’ve been pretty absorbed in the past few days, as I mentioned in a recent post. Howe’s central argument is that history moves in cycles, and that every eighty years or so, societies go through a violent, transformative upheaval. Towton shows up in the narrative as a decisive event in the War of the Roses.

Towton was fought on Palm Sunday, March 29, 1461, in the middle of the war, which was England’s brutal dynastic civil war between the Houses of York and Lancaster. The Yorkist forces of the newly proclaimed Edward IV clashed with a massive Lancastrian army in what became, by most accounts, the deadliest battle ever fought on British soil. Estimates of the dead range widely, but tens of thousands of men were likely killed in a single day of savage fighting. When the Lancastrian line finally broke, the retreat turned into a massacre, with fleeing soldiers cut down across the fields and meadows of Yorkshire.

The mentioning of Yorkshire jumped out at me because I spent my junior year abroad at Sheffield University, which sits maybe 35 miles south of where all this took place. I remember the landscape outside of Sheffield fairly well. What comes to mind are the rolling green hills shrouded in fog, the old stone walls, and the way the countryside feels ancient. To think that one of the most violent days in human history happened just up the road is a bit mind-bending.

Howe’s book has me looking at history differently. As I touched on in an earlier post; less as a straight line and more as a recurring pattern of crisis, renewal, and crisis again. The Battle of Towton is a reminder that those cycles can be extraordinarily brutal. England in 1461 wasn’t so different from other moments in history when political order collapses and people settle their differences in the worst possible way.

Worth remembering, in whatever turning we happen to be in right now.

Trump’s tariff policies are obviously controversial. It is true that they are bringing in some new governmet revenue. According to CNBC (and others), tariff revenue in 2025 was $124 billion, a 304% increase over the previous year. However, the New York Times reported today on a study just released by the Federal Reserve Bank of New York that illuminates who exactly is paying these taxes.

Zooming out a bit, the findings from the New York Fed highlight a central debate in trade policy: the trade-off between using tariffs as a tool for industrial strategy (the old Hamiltonian approach) and the resulting inflationary pressure on the domestic economy. While tariffs are often intended to protect local industries or exert geopolitical leverage, this new study underscores the “pass-through” effect, where import taxes act as a de facto consumption tax on Americans. As policymakers weigh the benefits of “de-risking” supply chains and reducing dependence on specific trading partners, they must confront the reality that these structural shifts often come at a direct cost to the purchasing power of domestic businesses and households.

More specifically, the New York Fed study reveals that the vast majority of the economic burden from the 2025 U.S. tariffs (nearly 90 percent!) is being borne by domestic firms and consumers rather than foreign exporters. Apparently, while the average tariff rate spiked from 2.6% to 13% over the year, foreign exporters generally did not lower their prices to absorb the cost. Instead, these costs were passed through to U.S. importers, leading to an 11% increase in prices for goods subject to the average tariff.

So the federal government is raising more revenue, but they are raising it from us.

Note: The graph below is taken from the NY Fed study by Mary Amiti, Chris Flanagan, Sebastian Heise, and David E. Weinstein

I am currently ‘reading’ 9 books. I put that in quotes, because I really have almost given up on the two bottom books in the stack, both of which I started last summer. February will be my last go with them and if I don’t make any progress, I’ll abandon them; which I don’t like to do, but you know, life is short. I’m exactly 60% of the way done with the Paul Johnson tome. I seem to average about a 100 pages a month on it so I should be done by late May. The Great Hunt is getting a bit more interesting, but I will not continue with The Wheel of Time series. It is just average and comes nowhere near LOTRs. The top five books in the stack, the ones I started most recently, are all enjoyable. I imagine the Kelton book will be finished next.

Today at Powell’s I picked up a novel I’ve heard a lot of good things about called Stoner by British writer John Williams. It came out in the 1960s, but apparently went a bit viral in the oughts. It currently has more than a quarter million ratings on Goodreads. Glad to add it to my TBR pile.

I got a very interesting book for Christmas called The Case Agaist Reality. It is a short, dense work of philosophy that I am slowly working my way through. Something I just came across in the book has to do with the shrinking of the human brain over the past 20,000 years. Indeed, some apparently argue this shrinking began as much as 100,00 years ago. This was news to me.

Apparently, according to some thinkers, as societies arose and became more complex, our ancestors increasingly didn’t need to ‘know everything’ to survive. They could become specialists. This is an obvious idea to me from a cultural and economic standpoint, but I didn’t realize it has had an impact on our brain size and the ratio of brain size to body mass.

The idea is that Individuals who may not have survived alone or in small groups, could survive in larger, more complex communities. Indeed, culture acts as a sort of buffer, or safety net. Tools, stored food, medical expertise, shared memories (and eventually writing); these all help carry the cognitive burden for people allowing for leaner biological cognition without losing ‘intelligence.’ At the same time, selection pressures decreased, as one could get away with not being an outstanding generalist. At the end of the day, it appears complex societies didn’t make humans dumber; they changed which kinds of minds could survive.

These ideas are still controversial and there doesn’t seem to be consensus. The fact that our brains have been shrinking however doesn’t seem to be in doubt.

I have never been a fan of ebooks. I read a ton, and I have given them a go, but there is something about holding a physical book that is deeply satisfying for me. Another issue I’ve always worried about with regards to ebooks is the blue light. I read in the evenings and I don’t want to have unnecessary exposure to blue lights that might negatively impact my sleep. Another factor that impacted my view was that I couldn’t physically assess, while reading, how far I’d come in a book and how far I had left. An ebook feels the same whether you are on page 1 or page 700.

That said, I don’t have a ton of space for more books. I am also the owner now of some decent blue light blocking glasses that I can wear in the evenings. Finally, I have become more and more comfortable with my iPad. While shopping for something totally unrelated on Amazon todayI decided to browse the book section and I came across a collection of ebooks that for today only cost either $1.99 or $2.99. One of the books was a 365 day ‘daily reader’ style book, which I was in the market for since we just started a new year and I hadn’t found a new one yet I wanted to read.

All this is to say that I spent about $11 on 7 ebooks that I can now enjoy on my iPad. I’ve already started the daily reader. Not sure when I’ll dive into one of the others, but for $2, I couldn’t resist. Indeed, when I think about how much time I’ll enjoy reading these books in light of their cost, especially when I consider what a 2 hour movie costs these days, I feel like I got a good deal. Later in the year I suspect I’ll repost something about whether the money was well spent or not.

I recently visited three bookstores in New York City and three in New Haven, Connecticut. I had received some gift cards to book stores but I didn’t want to buy books back east and have to deal with traveling back home with them. Instead, I was happily conducting research. I took note of what interested me and then went shopping when I got back home.

The photo below is what I came home with, except for the John le Carré novel, which was a gift I received in New Haven. Pretty good mix; a little poetry, a little philosophy, some memoir, some history. I even managed to get one novel. The surprise of the litter was The Coming of Neo Feudalism. I am also excited to read Brandon Stratton’s Dear New York, since I am a huge fans of his other photography/interview books.

I hope you got something new to read, as well.

My family knows I like books so Christmas usually yields some new reads. I got $160 of gift certificates to Barnes and Noble and the three books pictured below. I specifically asked for The Achilles Trap. However, the one I started reading immediately is Donald D. Hoffman’s The Case Against Reality. It looks like it will cover my interest in learning more about science (I don’t know much!) and the nature of reality (and mysticism generally). The epigram, shared below, landed hard becaue it fits by current view. I’m sure I’ll post again about the author’s ideas.

Hope you got something good to read, too!